Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.908447 2.175795 2.469294 2.815764 3.214051 3.658116 4.191522
2025-10-12 1.586437 1.952321 2.387365 2.944245 3.640314 4.484440 5.590027
2025-10-19 1.334605 1.750526 2.279245 3.003968 3.976778 5.244796 7.034926
2025-10-26 1.147035 1.589196 2.184601 3.050712 4.288110 6.006842 8.600396
2025-11-02 0.966511 1.403709 2.022447 2.970206 4.400105 6.500393 9.862396
2025-11-09 0.807533 1.221985 1.834577 2.816486 4.370976 6.770469 10.819522
2025-11-16 0.711161 1.117581 1.742850 2.788138 4.518844 7.317371 12.280290
2025-11-23 0.627015 1.019620 1.645992 2.734053 4.611070 7.778665 13.660215
2025-11-30 0.592429 0.995990 1.663082 2.866257 5.027428 8.831875 16.225963
2025-12-07 0.551248 0.955479 1.645804 2.934816 5.338451 9.739246 18.665422
2025-12-14 0.501312 0.893380 1.583106 2.912502 5.478086 10.348553 20.625750
2025-12-21 0.445189 0.813545 1.479237 2.799882 5.429784 10.590726 21.884373
2025-12-28 0.426245 0.801097 1.499244 2.929913 5.881431 11.894945 25.609689
2026-01-04 0.409650 0.791168 1.522856 3.070469 6.375753 13.363124 29.963331
2026-01-11 0.385903 0.764470 1.510631 3.136358 6.723394 14.575045 33.965123
2026-01-18 0.362921 0.736565 1.492521 3.187095 7.044990 15.778108 38.170142
2026-01-25 0.329688 0.683777 1.417154 3.103689 7.053304 16.270116 40.722581
2026-02-01 0.293501 0.620793 1.313234 2.943108 6.859691 16.257318 41.983198
2026-02-08 0.272038 0.587273 1.269143 2.913637 6.973531 17.004096 45.385487
2026-02-15 0.250630 0.551597 1.216389 2.857090 7.012991 17.571121 48.405644
2026-02-22 0.245223 0.551340 1.243384 2.995663 7.563026 19.533770 55.757017
2026-03-01 0.235452 0.539963 1.243390 3.067534 7.951104 21.130134 62.364782
2026-03-08 0.220407 0.514600 1.207612 3.044168 8.082239 22.046037 67.095483